Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#290
Expected Predictive Rating-10.7#311
Pace62.5#279
Improvement+9.4#2

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#246
Improvement+5.5#13

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#299
Improvement+3.9#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2011 146   @ St. John's L 59-74 12%     0 - 1 -10.1 -8.8 -2.0
  Nov 12, 2011 288   @ Hampton L 58-73 36%     0 - 2 -19.1 -9.3 -10.7
  Nov 14, 2011 285   Liberty L 72-75 62%     0 - 3 -13.7 -6.3 -7.5
  Nov 18, 2011 81   Lehigh L 57-82 10%     0 - 4 -18.9 -16.1 -1.8
  Nov 19, 2011 262   Eastern Kentucky L 44-63 44%     0 - 5 -25.0 -30.5 +4.0
  Nov 20, 2011 285   @ Liberty W 65-64 36%     1 - 5 -2.9 -9.7 +6.8
  Nov 26, 2011 311   @ Howard L 58-67 50%     1 - 6 -16.6 -8.6 -9.1
  Nov 30, 2011 111   Richmond L 61-92 21%     1 - 7 -30.3 -7.1 -26.7
  Dec 03, 2011 98   @ Georgia St. L 34-66 8%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -23.6 -28.5 +2.2
  Dec 18, 2011 6   @ Missouri L 56-94 1%     1 - 9 -16.3 -10.2 -7.5
  Dec 21, 2011 48   Iona L 65-83 12%     1 - 10 -12.8 -13.1 +1.0
  Dec 29, 2011 189   @ Miami (OH) L 69-73 18%     1 - 11 -2.1 +3.3 -5.8
  Jan 02, 2012 112   @ George Mason L 56-70 9%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -6.6 -5.5 -2.5
  Jan 04, 2012 249   James Madison W 68-61 53%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -1.5 -7.7 +6.4
  Jan 07, 2012 166   Delaware L 64-75 34%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -14.3 -6.4 -8.7
  Jan 11, 2012 331   @ Towson W 66-49 62%     3 - 13 2 - 3 +6.1 +1.5 +7.6
  Jan 14, 2012 200   @ Northeastern L 50-64 19%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -12.5 -13.8 -0.8
  Jan 19, 2012 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-69 OT 5%     3 - 15 2 - 5 +10.7 -0.8 +11.5
  Jan 21, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington L 66-68 51%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -9.8 -2.4 -7.7
  Jan 23, 2012 63   Drexel L 48-64 14%     3 - 17 2 - 7 -11.9 -9.5 -6.5
  Jan 26, 2012 249   @ James Madison L 47-59 28%     3 - 18 2 - 8 -13.7 -22.9 +7.9
  Jan 28, 2012 107   @ Old Dominion L 44-68 8%     3 - 19 2 - 9 -16.4 -9.0 -14.1
  Feb 01, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 78-87 12%     3 - 20 2 - 10 -4.1 +10.1 -14.5
  Feb 04, 2012 236   @ UNC Wilmington L 68-81 26%     3 - 21 2 - 11 -14.0 +0.0 -15.2
  Feb 08, 2012 107   Old Dominion L 51-70 21%     3 - 22 2 - 12 -18.2 -16.4 -2.2
  Feb 11, 2012 200   Northeastern W 79-54 41%     4 - 22 3 - 12 +19.7 +7.7 +13.0
  Feb 14, 2012 63   @ Drexel L 61-63 5%     4 - 23 3 - 13 +8.9 +8.9 -0.5
  Feb 18, 2012 281   @ VMI L 65-73 34%     4 - 24 -11.5 -16.6 +5.5
  Feb 22, 2012 218   Hofstra W 75-71 45%     5 - 24 4 - 13 -2.5 +5.9 -8.1
  Feb 25, 2012 98   Georgia St. L 60-64 19%     5 - 25 4 - 14 -2.4 +0.6 -3.6
  Mar 02, 2012 200   Northeastern L 49-57 29%     5 - 26 -9.9 -16.9 +5.8
Projected Record 5.0 - 26.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%